Manage options by regime.
Not by feel.
MarkovLab is a probabilistic decision platform for self-directed options traders. Classify market conditions, select the right strategy, monitor your positions, and know exactly when to roll, hedge, or exit.
Beta access by invitation only
Secure broker integrations
Run it on live markets — behind your own broker.
Connect a brokerage for live data, real option chains, and one-click order initiation. MarkovLab never executes, clears, or custodies anything — your broker does. You confirm every order.
What's new
Beyond the chain. Beyond entry. Beyond intuition.
Regime overlay
Daily HMM regimes persisted and rendered as coloured bands on every price chart. The last band always agrees with Smart Mode + Position Intelligence — verifiable, not vibes.
Wheel-Safe Strikes
Walks the live option chain to find strike combinations that meet your minimum P(non-touch) — put-side and call-side. Set your safety floor (70 / 75 / 80 / 85%) per ticker.
Broker connect
Tradier or Alpaca, paper or live. Encrypted keys, live chains, and one-click order initiation behind your own broker — you confirm every order, your broker executes.
The problem
Options trading has a lifecycle problem.
Traders spend 90% of their time on entry decisions and almost none on position management. Entries are structured. Everything after is improvised.
P&L colour drives decisions instead of probability. Green means hold. Red means panic. Neither is a framework.
Regime changes mid-trade and no one notices until the damage is done. The strategy that made sense at entry no longer fits the market.
How it works
One platform. The full trade lifecycle.
The Scanner classifies regime for every ticker on your watchlist. TickerWorkbench ranks all strategies by regime suitability and validates each against 24 months of backtest data. Enter because the math says so.
The Reliability Lab tracks every open position against its entry regime. See regime drift, health scores, and exit signals in real time. Know when conditions have changed before your P&L tells you.
Rules-based exit and roll signals grounded in your pre-defined thresholds. Hard exit when regime flips against you. Roll when sojourn and probability targets say so. Hedge when drawdown threatens your floor.
Capabilities
Every tool you need. Nothing you don't.
Scanner
Regime classification across your full watchlist. Four states: Bullish Trend, Volatile, Quiet Range, Bearish. Strategy recommendation per ticker, updated in real time.
TickerWorkbench
Deep single-ticker analysis. Strategy ranking by regime fit, backtest win rate, and skew. DTE timeline with earnings and expiry markers. Pre-market gap stress before the open.
Persistent Regimes
A 4-state Hidden Markov Model trained per ticker, backfilled daily, and overlaid as coloured bands on every price chart. Sojourn, transition risk, and entropy exposed alongside the label.
Wheel-Safe Strikes
Walks the live option chain step by step to find the strikes that meet your minimum P(non-touch) for BPS, CSP, short put, covered call, BCS, and short call.
Reliability Lab
Position lifecycle monitoring. PARS health score, regime drift detection, and status classification — Stable, Watch, High Risk — for every open trade. Roll signals included.
Hedging Program
Portfolio-level drawdown protection. Define your NLV floor. See max drawdown exposure by position. Regime-aware hedge recommendations that adapt to current market conditions.
Backtest Lab
Historical validation for every strategy. See win rate, average return, and max drawdown under similar regime conditions before committing capital.
Broker Integration
Connect Tradier or Alpaca — paper or live. Encrypted keys at rest. Batched quotes for the scanner, real chains with greeks for the Workbench, and one-click order initiation you confirm — your broker executes.
Automation Layer
Rules-based execution tied directly to your broker. Exits, rolls, and hedges triggered by regime, sojourn, and probability thresholds — not emotion.
Pricing
Free to learn the engine. Pro to run it on real markets.
- Regime engine (HMM) on every ticker
- Position Intelligence (New Entry + Portfolio modes)
- TickerWorkbench, Reliability Lab, Backtest Lab
- Persistent regime bands on charts
- Delayed market data
- Everything in Free
- Wheel-Safe Strike finder (target P(NT))
- Scanner wheel candidates
- Hedging Lab SORM sweep
- Broker linking — Tradier / Alpaca (paper or live)
- Live chains, encrypted keys, one-click order initiation behind your broker
Billed monthly via Stripe. Cancel anytime.
Who it's for
Built for traders who manage positions, not just open them.
If you sell premium, run spreads, or manage a wheel — you already think in probabilities. MarkovLab gives you the infrastructure to act on that thinking across the full trade lifecycle. From regime-aware entry to rules-based exit. One platform. No improvisation.